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Triple-Index ThetaShield

Options · Started Feb 2026

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
26.9%
Max Drawdown
29.1%
Trades
50
Win Trades
46.0%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
22.2%

About this strategy

Triple-Index ThetaShield trades 1-day-to-expiration (1DTE) defined-risk iron condors on SPX, RUT, and NDX. Positions use short premium paired with long options (credit spreads) to cap downside.

This system was developed and traded privately using the same framework and execution style, and is now available to Collective2 users for transparency and tracking.

Core idea

Capture short-dated time decay while managing the unique risks of 1DTE options (fast gamma, overnight gaps) through:

Selective entries (not every day)

Defined-risk structures

Conservative position sizing

Discretionary TP/SL guided by a consistent playbook

Entries (systematic)

Trades are initiated only when conditions meet a rules-based checklist (liquidity, premium adequacy, volatility/regime filters, and calendar/event awareness). Strike placement is typically out-of-the-money using probability-weighted positioning (adjusted to prevailing volatility).

Exits (discretionary, but structured)

Profit-taking and risk exits are not fixed percentages. Management follows a repeatable decision framework that considers factors like proximity to short strikes, volatility changes, speed of move, time remaining, and exit quality. This flexibility is intentional for 1DTE conditions.

Risk notes

All trades are defined risk, but losses can still occur—especially during large directional moves or gaps. The approach emphasizes longevity and disciplined exposure rather than constant trading.

Minimum suggested balance: $3,000 USD (smaller accounts typically trade fewer positions/symbols at a time).
Historical testing over the full 1DTE era indicates positive long-run expectancy, though results are not guaranteed and execution matters.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20260.261.1-21.40.00.00.00.00.00.026.9

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began2/5/2026
Suggested Minimum Capital$30,000
Age9 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades50
# Profitable23
% Profitable46.0%
Avg trade duration1.0 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown29.1%
drawdown periodMarch 07, 2026 - April 14, 2026
Cumul. Return26.9%
Avg win$3,102
Avg loss$2,367

Ratios

W:L ratio1.12
Sharpe Ratio0.60
Sortino Ratio2.09
Calmar Ratio8.70

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.14
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life12.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)12.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)39.5%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)43.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity34.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss53.5%
Chance of 20% account loss17.0%
Chance of 30% account loss1.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?187475
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$2,367
Avg Win$3,102
# Winners23
Sum Trade PL (losers)$63,919
Sum Trade PL (winners)$71,354
Num Months Winners2
# Losers27
% Winners46.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table9

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)1497.57
Avg Position Time (hrs)24.96
Avg Trade Length1
Last Trade Ago184

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)116.39
Daily leverage (max)252.70

Regression

Alpha0.19
Beta-0.81
Treynor Index-0.19

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.06
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.06
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.07
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.04
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-3.41
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.95
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.53
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.10
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.29

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.45
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.10

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-552562752
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)38
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

Placed 123 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
RUTW2620D2805 short4Apr 17, 2026Apr 21, 2026$1,584
RUTW2620P2740 long4Apr 17, 2026Apr 21, 2026($1,490)
RUTW2620P2745 short2Apr 17, 2026Apr 21, 2026$913
SPXW2620P7065 long4Apr 17, 2026Apr 20, 2026($2,220)
SPXW2620D7175 long4Apr 17, 2026Apr 20, 2026($1,944)
SPXW2614P6835 short5Apr 14, 2026Apr 15, 2026$546
SPXW2614P6830 long5Apr 14, 2026Apr 15, 2026($543)
RUTW2614P2635 long5Apr 14, 2026Apr 15, 2026($420)
SPXW2614D6925 long5Apr 14, 2026Apr 15, 2026$14,303
RUTW2614D2690 short5Apr 14, 2026Apr 15, 2026$2,172
RUTW2614D2695 long4Apr 14, 2026Apr 15, 2026($1,483)
SPXW2614D6920 short5Apr 14, 2026Apr 15, 2026($15,535)
RUTW2614P2640 short5Apr 14, 2026Apr 15, 2026$459
RUTW2614D2695 short1Apr 14, 2026Apr 14, 2026($89)
SPXW2601D6585 short4Apr 1, 2026Apr 1, 2026($3,118)
SPXW2601P6455 short4Apr 1, 2026Apr 1, 2026$406
SPXW2601P6450 long4Mar 31, 2026Apr 1, 2026($3,722)
SPXW2601D6590 long4Mar 31, 2026Apr 1, 2026$4,842
RUTW2601D2535 long4Apr 1, 2026Apr 1, 2026$552
RUTW2601P2460 short4Mar 31, 2026Apr 1, 2026$635
RUTW2601D2530 short4Mar 31, 2026Apr 1, 2026($3,103)
RUTW2601P2455 long4Mar 31, 2026Apr 1, 2026($1,732)
RUTW2630C2510 long7Mar 30, 2026Mar 30, 2026($824)
RUTW2630O2395 short7Mar 30, 2026Mar 30, 2026($64)
RUTW2630C2505 short7Mar 27, 2026Mar 30, 2026$4,076
RUTW2630O2390 long7Mar 27, 2026Mar 30, 2026($4,705)
SPXW2627O6400 short4Mar 27, 2026Mar 27, 2026$970
SPXW2627C6555 short4Mar 27, 2026Mar 27, 2026$270
SPXW2627C6560 long4Mar 27, 2026Mar 27, 2026($278)
SPXW2627O6395 long4Mar 27, 2026Mar 27, 2026($1,706)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.