Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

An Earnings Affair

Equity · Stocks, Options · Started Apr 2024

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-1.0%
Max Drawdown
5.8%
Trades
291
Win Trades
47.1%
Profit Factor
1
Win Months
16.7%
Subscribe $150/mo

About this strategy

This trading strategy focuses on executing options trades on equities during Earnings Season, with an emphasis on the first two months of each quarter. The approach utilizes a combination of spreads and single options legs, as well as shares, to capitalize on the increased market volatility during this period.

Trend-following Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2024-0.2-0.2-0.21.10.5-0.2-1.60.5-1.6-1.9
20250.1-0.80.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.5
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/15/2024
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age29 months
What it tradesStocks, Options
# Trades291
# Profitable137
% Profitable47.1%
Avg trade duration7.9 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown5.8%
drawdown periodAug 05, 2024 - Jan 07, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)-1.0%
Avg win$579
Avg loss$509

Ratios

W:L ratio1.01
Sharpe Ratio-0.78
Sortino Ratio-1.08
Calmar Ratio0.34

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.06
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life49.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-52.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-1.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.4%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity4.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.7%
Short Options - Percent Covered13.7%
Percent Trades Stocks0.3%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$509
Avg Win$579
# Winners137
Sum Trade PL (losers)$78,437
Sum Trade PL (winners)$79,381
Num Months Winners5
# Losers154
% Winners47.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct-11

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table30

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)11307.77
Avg Position Time (hrs)188.46
Avg Trade Length7.90
Last Trade Ago560

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.37
Daily leverage (max)10.30

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta-0.01
Treynor Index0.66

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-15.96
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.63
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.52
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.18
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.06

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.01
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.21
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.19
df7
t-0.17
p0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.20
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.59
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.22
Sortino ratio-0.27
Upside Potential Ratio1.25
Upside part of mean0.06
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms5
N of observations8
Mean of predictor0.58
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance0.01
r0.73
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.23
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.14
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error6
t(b)2.61
p(b)0.02
t(a)-1.95
p(a)0.95
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.04
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.05
Jensen alpha (a)-0.14
Mean-0.01
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.23
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.21
df7
t-0.19
p0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.18
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.61
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.20
Sortino ratio-0.30
Upside Potential Ratio1.21
Upside part of mean0.06
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms5
N of observations8
Mean of predictor0.55
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance0.01
r0.74
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.25
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.15
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error6
t(b)2.66
p(b)0.02
t(a)-2.03
p(a)0.96
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.06
Jensen alpha (a)-0.15
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean-0.01
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.22
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.22
df186
t-0.19
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.10
Sortino ratio-0.36
Upside Potential Ratio5.27
Upside part of mean0.19
Downside part of mean-0.20
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms142
N of observations187
Mean of predictor0.58
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error185
t(b)-0.15
p(b)0.51
t(a)-0.17
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)5.38
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
Mean-0.01
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.25
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.25
df186
t-0.21
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.07
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.07
Sortino ratio-0.41
Upside Potential Ratio5.20
Upside part of mean0.19
Downside part of mean-0.21
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms142
N of observations187
Mean of predictor0.54
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error185
t(b)-0.18
p(b)0.51
t(a)-0.19
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)5.16
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean-0.05
SD0.07
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.83
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.82
df130
t-0.59
p0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.95
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.95
Sortino ratio-1.28
Upside Potential Ratio4.57
Upside part of mean0.19
Downside part of mean-0.25
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms34
N negative terms97
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.76
Mean of criterion-0.05
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion0.07
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.06
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)0.27
p(b)0.48
t(a)-0.62
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)-10.62
Jensen alpha (a)-0.06
Mean-0.06
SD0.07
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.86
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.86
df130
t-0.61
p0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.91
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.91
Sortino ratio-1.32
Upside Potential Ratio4.51
Upside part of mean0.19
Downside part of mean-0.25
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms34
N negative terms97
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.71
Mean of criterion-0.06
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion0.07
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.06
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)0.25
p(b)0.49
t(a)-0.64
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)-12.06
Jensen alpha (a)-0.06
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations8
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.02
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations187
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low37
Percentage of outliers low0.20
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high36
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.14
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.25
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low20
Percentage of outliers low0.15
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high14
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.16
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.31
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.04
Median0.04
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-401585024
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)155
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.39
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.39
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.34
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.34
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.74
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.03
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.03
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.74
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.74
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-3.30

Trading record

Placed 581 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
SNAP2521O10 long4Jan 8, 2025Mar 4, 2025$79
RIVN2521B14 long10Jan 27, 2025Feb 20, 2025($134)
RIVN2521N13 long10Jan 27, 2025Feb 20, 2025($384)
ANF2507C120 long2Jan 27, 2025Feb 19, 2025($1,503)
ANF2507O120 long2Jan 27, 2025Feb 19, 2025$1,601
SNAP2521N10 short4Jan 8, 2025Feb 13, 2025$193
FSLY2521N10 long10Jan 27, 2025Feb 11, 2025$9
FSLY2521B11 long10Jan 27, 2025Feb 11, 2025$99
DXCM2514B88 long2Jan 27, 2025Feb 5, 2025($11)
DXCM2514N87 long2Jan 27, 2025Feb 5, 2025($115)
QQQ long200Jan 29, 2025Jan 29, 2025($204)
QQQ2528A512 short4Jan 28, 2025Jan 29, 2025$2
QQQ2528A513 long4Jan 28, 2025Jan 29, 2025$32
QID long200Jan 28, 2025Jan 28, 2025($53)
QLD long200Jan 28, 2025Jan 28, 2025$257
SNAP2524A15 long4Jan 8, 2025Jan 25, 2025($159)
UAL2524M104 long2Jan 17, 2025Jan 25, 2025($861)
UAL2524M105 short2Jan 16, 2025Jan 24, 2025$913
UAL long70Jan 23, 2025Jan 24, 2025($210)
UAL2524A105 short10Jan 16, 2025Jan 24, 2025$3,994
UAL2531A105 long10Jan 16, 2025Jan 24, 2025($3,005)
UAL2517M105 long2Jan 16, 2025Jan 18, 2025($261)
DAL short300Jan 11, 2025Jan 18, 2025($6)
QQQ short800Jan 18, 2025Jan 18, 2025($411)
PINS2507B33 long5Jan 6, 2025Jan 14, 2025($565)
PINS2507N33 long5Jan 6, 2025Jan 14, 2025$822
WOLF2531A7.5 long10Jan 6, 2025Jan 10, 2025($847)
SNAP2507B12.5 long8Jan 6, 2025Jan 8, 2025$109
SNAP2507N12.5 long8Jan 6, 2025Jan 8, 2025$210
NNE short1000Jan 7, 2025Jan 8, 2025$4,857

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.