Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Singularity

Futures · Futures · Started Jul 2026

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
12.1%
Max Drawdown
15.6%
Trades
149
Win Trades
37.6%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
50.0%
Subscribe $149/mo

About this strategy

Singularity is a fully automated quantitative trading system focused exclusively on the Nasdaq-100 futures market.

The system comprises a diversified portfolio of independently developed systematic models designed to capture different market behaviors and sources of market edge. Rather than relying on a single methodology, each model contributes to the overall portfolio with the objective of improving consistency and reducing dependence on any individual trading approach.

The underlying research was performed using Nasdaq-100 futures (NQ), while the live implementation currently executes using Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 (MNQ) futures. This reflects account size and risk management considerations rather than any dependence on the micro contract itself. The system is designed to scale naturally as capital grows.

Every trade is generated algorithmically according to predefined rules. There is no discretionary trade selection, no subjective market interpretation, and no manual intervention in the trading process. All signals published through Collective2 are generated directly from my live trading account.

Research prioritized robustness over optimization. Portfolio construction considered both individual model performance and inter-model correlation with the objective of improving overall portfolio robustness. Capital preservation, consistency, and long-term risk-adjusted performance were prioritized over maximizing standalone strategy returns.

Only models demonstrating robust historical performance, successful forward validation, and meaningful contribution to the overall portfolio were selected for live deployment.

The system has been extensively backtested, forward tested, and has been trading live since October 2025.

Risk management is embedded throughout the strategy. Core principles include:
- Fully systematic execution
- No discretionary overrides
- No martingale or progressive position sizing
- No averaging down losing positions
- Trading exclusively in one of the world's most liquid futures markets
- Diversification across multiple independent quantitative models

Like every systematic investment strategy, Singularity will experience losing trades and periods of drawdown. These are expected features of a probabilistic trading process rather than reasons to alter the underlying methodology. Performance should be evaluated over a meaningful number of trades and across complete market cycles instead of individual trades or short-term fluctuations.

Singularity is intended for investors who value discipline, transparency, and a repeatable quantitative investment process over short-term excitement.

Financials / Indexes

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2026-1.912.611.9-9.412.1

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/2/2026
Suggested Minimum Capital$30,000
Age98 days
C2 Rank941
Rank at C2 %Top 5.9%
Rank ##141
What it tradesFutures
# Trades149
# Profitable56
% Profitable37.6%
Avg trade duration6.5 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown15.6%
drawdown periodSept 24, 2026 - Oct 08, 2026
Cumul. Return12.1%
Avg win$461
Avg loss$235

Ratios

W:L ratio1.18
Sharpe Ratio1.08
Sortino Ratio2.37
Calmar Ratio6.25

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.26
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life3.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)8.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)50.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)73.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity16.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss31.5%
Chance of 20% account loss3.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)821
C2 Score941
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)725

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?187612
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$235
Avg Win$461
# Winners56
Sum Trade PL (losers)$21,819
Sum Trade PL (winners)$25,838
Num Months Winners2
# Losers93
% Winners37.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table4

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)392.05
Avg Position Time (hrs)6.53
Avg Trade Length0.30
Last Trade Ago0

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)4.23
Daily leverage (max)13.07

Regression

Alpha0.11
Beta1.01
Treynor Index0.15

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-5.45
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.69
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.45
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.11
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.20

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.89
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.86
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.18
df2
t1.93
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio8.93
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.28
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.64
Sortino ratio241.05
Upside Potential Ratio243.05
Upside part of mean0.90
Downside part of mean-0.01
Upside SD0.32
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms1
N of observations3
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.89
SD of predictor0.02
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance-0.00
r-0.96
b (slope, estimate of beta)-14.25
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.30
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error1
t(b)-3.30
p(b)0.91
t(a)4.93
p(a)0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-69.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta40.63
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha8.23
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.06
Jensen alpha (a)2.30
Mean0.84
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.86
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.18
df2
t1.93
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio8.92
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.28
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.64
Sortino ratio228.07
Upside Potential Ratio230.07
Upside part of mean0.85
Downside part of mean-0.01
Upside SD0.30
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms1
N of observations3
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.84
SD of predictor0.02
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance-0.00
r-0.96
b (slope, estimate of beta)-13.65
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.18
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error1
t(b)-3.38
p(b)0.91
t(a)5.04
p(a)0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-64.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta37.68
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha7.69
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.06
Jensen alpha (a)2.18
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0.64
SD0.43
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.49
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.48
df69
t0.77
p0.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.29
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.32
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.28
Sortino ratio3.17
Upside Potential Ratio11.30
Upside part of mean2.28
Downside part of mean-1.64
Upside SD0.38
Downside SD0.20
N nonnegative terms32
N negative terms38
N of observations70
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.64
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.43
Covariance0.01
r0.26
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.52
Mean Square Error0.17
DF error68
t(b)2.25
p(b)0.01
t(a)0.64
p(a)0.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.94
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.13
Treynor index (mean / b)0.62
Jensen alpha (a)0.52
Mean0.55
SD0.42
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.32
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.31
df69
t0.68
p0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.12
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.49
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.11
Sortino ratio2.68
Upside Potential Ratio10.76
Upside part of mean2.21
Downside part of mean-1.66
Upside SD0.36
Downside SD0.21
N nonnegative terms32
N negative terms38
N of observations70
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.55
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.42
Covariance0.01
r0.26
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.98
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.44
Mean Square Error0.16
DF error68
t(b)2.19
p(b)0.02
t(a)0.56
p(a)0.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.87
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.01
Treynor index (mean / b)0.56
Jensen alpha (a)0.44
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11.05
Median1.11
Quartile 31.11
Maximum1.12
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.11
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 41.12
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations70
Minimum0.94
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.12
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.15
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.43
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.05
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.13
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.07
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-379207232
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)14
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.97
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.39
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal24.08
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.63
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.79
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)6.25
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs7.02
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal15.82

Trading record

Placed 443 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@MNQ Z6short2Oct 7, 2026Oct 7, 2026($690)
@MNQ Z6long11Oct 6, 2026Oct 7, 2026($685)
@MNQ Z6short1Oct 5, 2026Oct 6, 2026($207)
@MNQ Z6long3Oct 5, 2026Oct 5, 2026$146
@MNQ Z6long4Oct 5, 2026Oct 5, 2026$275
@MNQ Z6short1Oct 5, 2026Oct 5, 2026($31)
@MNQ Z6short1Oct 5, 2026Oct 5, 2026($205)
@MNQ Z6long6Oct 2, 2026Oct 5, 2026($984)
@MNQ Z6short1Oct 1, 2026Oct 2, 2026($382)
@MNQ Z6long5Sep 30, 2026Oct 1, 2026($478)
@MNQ Z6short1Sep 30, 2026Sep 30, 2026($310)
@MNQ Z6short1Sep 30, 2026Sep 30, 2026($26)
@MNQ Z6short1Sep 29, 2026Sep 29, 2026($101)
@MNQ Z6short6Sep 29, 2026Sep 29, 2026$604
@MNQ Z6short3Sep 29, 2026Sep 29, 2026($318)
@MNQ Z6long1Sep 29, 2026Sep 29, 2026($79)
@MNQ Z6short3Sep 29, 2026Sep 29, 2026($305)
@MNQ Z6short5Sep 28, 2026Sep 28, 2026$459
@MNQ Z6long5Sep 25, 2026Sep 28, 2026($1,464)
@MNQ Z6long1Sep 24, 2026Sep 24, 2026$357
@MNQ Z6short1Sep 24, 2026Sep 24, 2026$318
@MNQ Z6long2Sep 24, 2026Sep 24, 2026($198)
@MNQ Z6short1Sep 23, 2026Sep 24, 2026$350
@MNQ Z6short1Sep 22, 2026Sep 23, 2026$72
@MNQ Z6short3Sep 22, 2026Sep 22, 2026$191
@MNQ Z6long1Sep 22, 2026Sep 22, 2026$41
@MNQ Z6long3Sep 22, 2026Sep 22, 2026$747
@MNQ Z6long13Sep 21, 2026Sep 22, 2026$4,083
@MNQ Z6long1Sep 21, 2026Sep 21, 2026$148
@MNQ Z6long1Sep 18, 2026Sep 21, 2026$1,037

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.